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Landslide susceptibility assessment using different rainfall event-based landslide inventories: advantages and limitations

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Resumo:The present work aims to evaluate potential sources of uncertainty associated with rainfalltriggered event-based landslide inventories within the framework of landslide susceptibility assessment. Therefore, this study addresses the following questions: (i) How representative is an event-based landslide inventory map of the total landslide activity and distribution in a study area?; (ii) How reliable is an event-based landslide susceptibility map?; (iii) How appropriate is an event-based landslide inventory map for independently validating a landslide susceptibility map? To address these questions, two independent and contrasting rainfall event-based landslide inventories were used, together with a historical landslide inventory, to assess landslide susceptibility for diferent types of landslides in a study area located north of Lisbon, Portugal. The results revealed the following fndings: (i) contrasting rainfall critical conditions for failure can trigger similar landslide types, although they may vary in size and be spatially constrained by diferent predisposing conditions, particularly lithology and soil type; (ii) landslide susceptibility models using event-based landslide inventories are not reliable in the study area, regardless of the landslide inventory map used for training and validation; and (iii) complementary sources of uncertainty results from using incomplete historical landslide inventories to assess landslide susceptibility and non-totally independent landslide inventories for modeling validation. The present study enhances the understanding of regional landslide susceptibility patterns based on contrasting rainfall-trigger conditions, providing valuable information to minimize exposure; to design regional landslide early warning systems for specifc rainfall-trigger landslide events; and to improve the response and preparedness of civil protection services.
Autores principais:Oliveira, Sérgio
Outros Autores:Zêzere, José; Garcia, Ricardo; Pereira, Susana; Vaz, Teresa; Melo, Raquel
Assunto:Landslides Event-based landslide inventories Short intense and long-lasting rainfall events Landslide susceptibility assessment
Ano:2024
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
Descrição
Resumo:The present work aims to evaluate potential sources of uncertainty associated with rainfalltriggered event-based landslide inventories within the framework of landslide susceptibility assessment. Therefore, this study addresses the following questions: (i) How representative is an event-based landslide inventory map of the total landslide activity and distribution in a study area?; (ii) How reliable is an event-based landslide susceptibility map?; (iii) How appropriate is an event-based landslide inventory map for independently validating a landslide susceptibility map? To address these questions, two independent and contrasting rainfall event-based landslide inventories were used, together with a historical landslide inventory, to assess landslide susceptibility for diferent types of landslides in a study area located north of Lisbon, Portugal. The results revealed the following fndings: (i) contrasting rainfall critical conditions for failure can trigger similar landslide types, although they may vary in size and be spatially constrained by diferent predisposing conditions, particularly lithology and soil type; (ii) landslide susceptibility models using event-based landslide inventories are not reliable in the study area, regardless of the landslide inventory map used for training and validation; and (iii) complementary sources of uncertainty results from using incomplete historical landslide inventories to assess landslide susceptibility and non-totally independent landslide inventories for modeling validation. The present study enhances the understanding of regional landslide susceptibility patterns based on contrasting rainfall-trigger conditions, providing valuable information to minimize exposure; to design regional landslide early warning systems for specifc rainfall-trigger landslide events; and to improve the response and preparedness of civil protection services.

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