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Parameter estimation, sensitivity analysis and optimal control of a periodic epidemic model with application to HRSV in Florida

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:A state wide Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus (HRSV) surveillance system was implemented in Florida in 1999 to support clinical decision-making for prophylaxis of premature infants. The research presented in this paper addresses the problem of fitting real data collected by the Florida HRSV surveillance system by using a periodic SEIRS mathematical model. A sensitivity and cost-effectiveness analysis of the model is done and an optimal control problem is formulated and solved with treatment as the control variable.
Autores principais:Rosa, Silvério
Outros Autores:Torres, Delfim F. M.
Assunto:Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus (HRSV) Compartmental Mathematical Models Estimation of Parameters Optimal Control
Ano:2018
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade de Aveiro
Idioma:inglês
Origem:RIA - Repositório Institucional da Universidade de Aveiro
Descrição
Resumo:A state wide Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus (HRSV) surveillance system was implemented in Florida in 1999 to support clinical decision-making for prophylaxis of premature infants. The research presented in this paper addresses the problem of fitting real data collected by the Florida HRSV surveillance system by using a periodic SEIRS mathematical model. A sensitivity and cost-effectiveness analysis of the model is done and an optimal control problem is formulated and solved with treatment as the control variable.

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